Date(s) - 02/07/2014
5:30 pm - 7:00 pm
Lakatos (LAK) 2.06
Speaker: Branden Fitelson (Rutgers)
Title: Towards an Epistemic Foundation for Comparative Confidence (joint work with David McCarthy)
A generalization of Joyce’s (2009) argumentative strategy for establishing probabilism as a coherence requirement for numerical degrees of confidence (credences) is developed and applied to comparative confidence judgments. First, we show that there is a unique (additive) proper scoring rule for comparative confidence judgments. Then, we apply a non-dominance requirement to establish several coherence requirements for comparative confidence relations that have been proposed (and widely defended) in the literature. We also make some remarks about the limits of this type of approach.